Voters' Memories Will Fade Some.

First Of All, I Think It's Odd That People Who Cover Politics Wouldn't Have Any Political Views.

Expert Estimates Of Probability Are Often Off By Factors Of Hundreds Or Thousands. [...] I Used To Be Annoyed When The Margin Of Error Was High In A Forecasting Model That I Might Put Together. Now I View It As Perhaps The Single Most Important Piece Of Information That A Forecaster Provides. When We Publish A Forecast On Fivethirtyeight, I Go To Great Lengths To Document The Uncertainty Attached To It, Even If The Uncertainty Is Sufficiently Large That The Forecast Won't Make For Punchy Headlines.

By Playing Games You Can Artificially Speed Up Your Learning Curve To Develop The Right Kind Of Thought Processes.

To My Friends, I’m Kind Of Sexually Gay But Ethnically Straight.

I Guess I Don't Like The People In Politics Very Much, To Be Blunt.