I'm A Rock Star Among Geeks, Wonks,

The Global Financial Crisis - Missed By Most Analysts - Shows That Most Forecasters Are Poor At Pricing In Economic/financial Risks, Let Alone Geopolitical Ones.

Technology Is Spurring Innovation, And The So-called "demographic Dividend" Has Brought Change.

All The Risky Things That Were Happening Back In ’06 And ‘07 Are Back Again To The Same Level, If Not More. So We Are In The Beginning Of A Credit Bubble, But Just The Beginning.

In The History Of Modern Capitalism, Crises Are The Norm, Not The Exception.

I'm Not A Pessimist By Nature. I'm Not Someone Who Sees Things In A Bleak Way.